Do the Colts charge somewhat home-field benefit towards the Giants on Sunday?
Sure, the sport’s at 1 p.m. at MetLife Stadium — dwelling of the Giants. However it’s the Colts who’ve extra wins at that facility this season. Indianapolis is 1-0 because of a 28-27 victory over the Jets on Nov. 17. QB Anthony Richardson’s 4-yard landing run with 46 seconds to go was the distinction in a recreation his staff trailed by eight factors early within the fourth quarter.
The Giants? Their dwelling document might win an award for being the largest bagel in North Jersey. They’re 0-8 at MetLife, with 5 of the defeats coming by double digits.
Subject No. 2 is accidents. The Giants listing quite a lot of questionables at midweek, together with Malik Nabers, Tyrone Tracy Jr. and a handful of offensive linemen. As a bettor, probably the one factor higher than going towards Drew Lock goes towards Drew Lock with a foul shoulder, which could possibly be the case. (Richardson is questionable for the Colts with again and foot issues, however Joe Flacco could be an appropriate substitute).
Lastly, we have now to think about the legendary “tank” situation. The Giants presently maintain the No. 1 choose within the 2025 NFL Draft, and at this level, the one worthwhile factor Brian Daboll can do for the franchise is to ensure it stays that manner.
I’m all the time somewhat hesitant to debate this notion as a result of I’d by no means need to counsel a coach is making an attempt to lose a recreation. Nonetheless, in 10 days, the complete Giants world will likely be centered on that draft selection. And everybody noticed that the Raiders dropped from first to sixth with one measly win towards the Jaguars.
The choose: Colts -7.5.
BUFFALO BILLS (-8.5) over New York Jets
The Payments now not can win the AFC bye, however the No. 2 seed is necessary as properly, because it’s the distinction between a house recreation and a highway recreation within the divisional spherical. They will clinch that spot Sunday in the event that they beat the Jets at Orchard Park.
Although they’ve the motivation, it’s dicey to put a giant quantity on this spot when a victory by three or seven factors would obtain the favourite’s aim.
The Payments did not cowl a 14-point unfold in a 24-21 victory over the Patriots, however that may have been a sleepy spot after an eventful string of video games that included a win over the Chiefs, the snow rout of the 49ers, a 44-42 loss on the Rams and 48-42 win on the Lions.
Solely 4 of the Jets’ losses are by double digits, however this line has dipped properly below the important thing variety of 10. Determine the Payments maintain enterprise the best way the Chiefs and Ravens did on Christmas.
Saturday
Los Angeles Chargers (-4) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
The Chargers would clinch an AFC wild-card berth with a victory in Foxborough. Once more, that bid could possibly be secured with a last-second subject aim, however the unfold right here isn’t fairly as forbidding because the one in Payments-Jets. After getting pounded bodily in a 40-17 loss to the Bucs, the Chargers got here again 4 days later and took down the Broncos. That’s a powerful job by Jim Harbaugh, and I belief him to get the Bolts over the end line right here by margin.
Denver Broncos (+3.5) over CINCINNATI BENGALS
The Broncos have had somewhat additional time after their Thursday loss to the Chargers, and that ought to assist right now of 12 months. Curiously, their beginning 22 doesn’t listing a single damage. The Sean Payton/Bo Nix offense is on a heater, scoring 38, 29, 41, 31 and 27 factors in going 4-1. Pleased to take them and some factors towards a Bengals protection that ranks twenty eighth in factors per recreation allowed at 26.2.
Arizona Cardinals (+6.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS
The Rams are battling for the NFC West title. Arizona has misplaced 4 of its previous 5 and was eradicated from the postseason with an additional time loss in Carolina final week. Nonetheless, the prime-time highlight will likely be on the Cardinals for a uncommon event, and I don’t assume there’s 6.5 factors value of distinction between these two groups.
Sunday
Las Vegas Raiders (-1) over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
The Raiders already can say goodbye to the No. 1 choose in 2025, so there’s not a lot draw back to a different win right here. Determine with Aidan O’Connell, Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers all wholesome, Las Vegas can generate extra offense than the battered Saints can handle with Spencer Rattler and probably with out Alvin Kamara.
Tennessee Titans (+1) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
It’s a stretch even to name this an NFL recreation, nevertheless it’s on the cardboard so we have now to select it. Since Mac Jones changed the injured Trevor Lawrence, the Jags are 1-5, with the win coming 10-6 at Tennessee on Dec. 8. That offers the Titans a fast revenge motive (lol, I do know!). Additionally, Mason Rudolph has been an improve over Will Levis, and the Titans have averaged 28.5 factors in his previous two begins towards the Bengals and Colts. Hey, it’s one thing.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-7) over Dallas Cowboys
Line has cratered a couple of factors on Jalen Hurts’ damage standing. The Eagles’ 36-33 loss in Landover ended their 10-game win streak and now Philly continues to be a win (or a Commanders loss later Sunday) away from the NFC East title and a assure of not less than the NFC No. 2 seed. They crushed the Cowboys, 34-6, in Arlington in Cooper Rush’s first begin instead of Dak Prescott. Dallas has averaged 27.4 ppg and gone 4-1 in its final 5 however Rush’s choices dwindle with CeeDee Lamb shut down.
Carolina Panthers (+8) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
The Bucs are clinging to the lead within the NFC South. Two weeks in the past, they hammered the Chargers bodily and on the scoreboard, 40-17. Final week at Dallas, they made too many errors and misplaced, 26-24, of their fourth highway recreation in 5 weeks. Even when the Bucs can rediscover that depth, this unfold’s a bit a lot to ask towards a Panthers staff that has lined six of their final seven spreads.
Miami Dolphins (-6.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS
In contrast to a couple of weeks in the past at Lambeau, the Dolphins luck out with a moist forecast within the low 50s in Cleveland. Looks as if quite a lot of factors however the Browns’ final six losses have come by a mean of 15.3 ppg.
Betting on the NFL?
Inexperienced Bay Packers (-1) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS
The Packers are the juggernaut contender I don’t choose almost sufficient. They’ve gained 9 of 11, with the 2 losses coming to the Lions. Earlier losses got here towards the Eagles in Week 1 in Brazil and 31-29 to the Vikings in Week 4 in Jordan Love’s first recreation again from damage. Nice matchup however I see the Packers protection stopping Sam Darnold somewhat greater than the Vikings quieting Love.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (-4) over Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr. obtained a win in his debut vs. the Giants, however the 34-7 closing was aided by two pick-sixes. Whereas they’re preventing for first within the NFC South, this can be a win-and-in for the Commanders and the previous FedEx Discipline needs to be on fireplace for Jayden Daniels.
Monday
Detroit Lions (-3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
The Lions had an 11-game profitable streak snapped in a 48-42 loss to the Payments however responded with a 34-17 rout at Chicago. The battered 49ers appear to be a mere velocity bump for Jared Goff, Amon Ra-St. Brown & Co. on the best way to the NFC’s No. 1 seed.
Greatest bets: Lions, Colts, Chargers
Lock of the week: Lions (Locks 8-8 in 2024)
Final week: 8-7-1 general, 1-2 Greatest Bets
Wed./Thur.: Chiefs (W), Texans (L), Seahawks (L)
Why Belief New York Put up Betting
Dave Blezow’s one of many longest tenured NFL handicappers on the Put up with picks relationship again 31 years. He gained the Put up’s NFL betting standings in 2021 and the Playoffs most not too long ago in 2023.
