A couple of weeks in the past, colleague Ryan Dunleavy examined in The Submit whether or not this a centesimal season in Giants historical past is the worst of all.
At 2-11 with 4 video games to go, the this crew can’t attain the depths of the 1966 version by way of file (1-12-1) or profitable share (.107) — however there are different concerns that counsel they may very well be reaching an all-time low.
The Giants may go winless within the NFC East for the primary time because the division was created in 1970. They may end winless at dwelling for the primary time since 1974. They’ve scored the fewest factors within the NFL (194 — 27 fewer than the next-worst Patriots). This is able to be the primary time that they got here in final in factors since 1953, when the league consisted of 12 groups.
Now, there are some new numbers so as to add to the stew.
The Giants at present stand as 16-point underdogs for Sunday’s sport in opposition to the Ravens, their largest dwelling underdog unfold on file — and that time-frame encompasses their houses at Yankee Stadium, Yale Bowl, Shea Stadium, Giants Stadium and now MetLife.
Past that, the underside is falling out on curiosity within the crew. Sure, there was the small airplane that flew over MetLife final Sunday with the banner imploring John Mara to “fix this Dumpster fire.”
However the secondary market at Vivid Seats tells a unique story, with tickets for the Week 17 dwelling sport vs. the Colts beginning at $9 with dozens of seat areas out there at $14 and beneath.
It’s mainly in opposition to my faith in a betting sense to present greater than two touchdowns on the highway in an NFL sport, however I don’t see the choice right here. The sport is essential to the Ravens, who’re chasing the Steelers within the NFC North, and are fully wholesome and coming off a bye.
I don’t see how the Giants, who’re lacking Dexter Lawrence, can start to cease Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and Co. Or how Tommy DeVito can dent the scoreboard when Malik Nabers and most of his offensive line is listed as questionable or worse.
Minus-16 appears to be like rather less daunting once you have a look at the affordable ultimate scores that might cowl it — comparable to, say, 31-13 and even 27-10.
The decide: Ravens -16.
New York Jets (-3.5) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Aaron Rodgers had his first 300-yard passing sport as a Jet with 339 at Miami, and the crew nonetheless appears to be competing for Jeff Ulbrich. Prior to now three losses, the Jets have averaged 24.6 ppg, whereas the Jaguars are scoring 10.75 ppg in Mac Jones’ 4 video games as the first quarterback. Figuring there shall be sooner or later within the solar for the Jets this season.
CLEVELAND BROWNS (+4) over Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Watching Jameis Winston play soccer is sort of a day on the circus. The expertise ranges from seeing death-defying feats to smelling the elephants. He does have dwelling wins over the Ravens and Steelers to his credit score. The Chiefs are 12-1 but in addition have did not cowl their previous seven video games.
TENNESSEE TITANS (+5) over Cincinnati Bengals
The Titans have remoted highway wins in opposition to the Dolphins and Texans, however these are their lone covers in 12 video games. Nonetheless, I’m glad to take significant factors at dwelling in opposition to Cincinnati’s protection. The Bengals lined an identical unfold to this at Dallas however wanted a colossally dumb play to make it potential.
Washington Commanders (-7.5) over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Derek Carr fractured his non-throwing hand within the win over the Giants and entered concussion protocol afterward. With Taysom Hill out, it can big downside for Saints backers with Carr now additionally being dominated out and Jake Haener slated to start out in his place. Washington is off a late-season bye, Jayden Daniels returns to Louisiana and Marshon Lattimore ought to make his Commanders debut in opposition to his previous crew.
Dallas Cowboys (+3) over CAROLINA PANTHERS
Carolina has lined 5 spreads in a row however has gone 2-3 straight-up in these video games during which itsaverage unfold was +9. 4 of these video games have been determined by three factors or fewer. So, I’m not fairly able to again them giving a full area aim after they’ve been the underdogs their previous 33 video games.
Miami Dolphins (+3) over HOUSTON TEXANS
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle performed via accidents in opposition to the Jets and are listed as questionable. The larger downside for Miami is LT Terron Armstead shall be out, and that may make it a troublesome day for Tua Tagovailoa in opposition to Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter. Nonetheless, the Texans play loads of one-possession video games, and even this small unfold would possibly find yourself being decisive.
Indianapolis Colts (+4) over DENVER BRONCOS
When final we noticed the Broncos, they have been giving up 497 yards passing and 552 yards of complete offense to the Browns in a sport they ended up profitable, 41-32, thanks to 3 Winston interceptions. The Colts don’t have flashy stats however are a middle-echelon crew that’s fairly able to making this a dogfight.
DETROIT LIONS (-2.5) over Buffalo Payments
The ailing Payments protection has been an issue for some time — it has yielded 27, 20, 21 and 44 factors over the previous 5 weeks. The Lions ought to be capable to do the entire issues the Rams did of their 44-42 win final Sunday, however Detroit additionally has the offensive line and ball-control skill to maintain the ball out of Josh Allen’s arms.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-5.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers
The George Pickens harm is a giant one for the Steelers. This may very well be the sport the place Pittsburgh will get uncovered by an elite crew. It’s arduous to get away from Mike Tomlin’s profession file of overlaying 66.1 % as an underdog, however generally you need to fold your straight if you happen to suspect a flush.
New England Patriots (+6) over ARIZONA CARDINALS
Although the Cardinals have loved just a few blowout dwelling wins this season, their present three-game dropping streak during which they’ve averaged 15.3 ppg makes me not wish to lay this quantity in opposition to a New England crew that’s 3-10 however has had its moments. Possibly the Week 14 bye will rejuvenate the Patriots a bit.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Some will shade the Bucs’ three-game streak as a result of the wins have been over the Giants, Panthers and Raiders. Nervous in regards to the Mike Evans harm, however Baker Mayfield has made it work with out him earlier than. And the Chargers have their very own harm issues, together with Justin Herbert.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (+2.5) over Inexperienced Bay Packers
Stunning to see the Seahawks as this massive a house underdog after they’re 8-5, in first place within the NFC West and have a four-game profitable streak. Packers even have some accidents of their secondary, which Geno Smith and his wholesome receiving corps may exploit.
MONDAY
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-7) over Chicago Bears
The Vikings led 24-10 in Chicago earlier than profitable, 30-27, in extra time on Nov. 24. Sam Darnold threw for 330 yards and two TDs. Caleb Williams threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns, however the Bears appeared as in the event that they checked out on the season final week in San Francisco after the justified Matt Eberflus firing.
Betting on the NFL?
Atlanta Falcons (-4) over LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
The Falcons stay one of many enigmas of the 2024 season. The names look nice on the depth chart, however they’re 6-7 with just one victory by a couple of rating. It’s a stretch to put greater than a area aim on the highway, however I’m figuring playoff desperation will carry the evening in opposition to a Raiders crew which may have to start out Desmond Ridder at quarterback.
BEST BETS: Buccaneers, Colts, Seahawks.
LOCK OF THE WEEK: Buccaneers (Locks 7-7 in 2024).
LAST WEEK: 6-6-1 general, 1-2 Greatest Bets.
THURSDAY: Rams (W).
Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Dave Blezow’s one of many longest tenured NFL handicappers on the Submit with picks courting again 31 years. He gained the Submit’s NFL betting standings in 2021 and the Playoffs most not too long ago in 2023.
