Ohio is one in every of three groups tied on the prime of the MAC standings with a 5-1 convention report, together with Bowling Inexperienced and Miami (Ohio).
Nevertheless, Toledo nonetheless has an ideal probability to make the convention title sport with a win on Wednesday.
Ohio vs. Toledo prediction
The Bobcats had a few of the worst returning manufacturing marks within the nation, however coach Tim Albin has led his group to spectacular success, notably on the defensive finish.
Ohio ranks 53rd in general defensive success charge, particularly excelling towards the run, the place it sits twenty third in EPA/rush allowed.
Toledo has struggled to determine a floor sport this season, rating 128th in EPA/rush and a hundred and fifth in early down EPA/play.
If the Rockets can’t discover dashing success, their offense will fall on Tucker Gleason’s arm towards a Bobcats go protection ranked simply 77th by EPA/dropback.
The Rockets typically rely on passing explosives to generate offensive manufacturing, and the Bobcats protection must be sound in protection right here.
It’s price noting that Gleason remains to be overdue for turnover regression. He has 14 turnover-worthy performs however simply seven interceptions this yr.
In the meantime, Ohio’s offense is extremely depending on operating again Anthony Tyus.
Nonetheless, it might be robust sledding towards a Toledo protection ranked prime 25 in EPA/rush allowed and PFF’s tackling grades.
If Parker Navarro is requested to shoulder a heavier burden as a passer, I don’t have a lot confidence in him succeeding towards Toledo’s Twelfth-ranked protection unit.
Ohio has benefited from a simple convention schedule, taking part in 4 of the underside 5 groups within the MAC standings.
Whereas I’ve points with Toledo general, the Rockets nonetheless present a transparent benefit on this sport, and I see worth of their unfold beneath a subject purpose.
Advice: Toledo -1.5 (-110, ESPN BET).
Buffalo vs. Japanese Michigan prediction
First-year coach Pete Lembo has finished a wonderful job of creating Buffalo aggressive this season after an entire rebuild on each side of the ball.
The Bulls are surprisingly 4-2 in convention play and enter this sport on the heels of an extra time win over Ball State.
Nevertheless, they have been comparatively lucky to win that sport — Ball State averaged 7.45 yards per play (86th percentile) to Buffalo’s 5.44 (thirty ninth).
The Bulls have a restricted offensive assault, rating outdoors the highest 110 groups in EPA/go and passing success charge.
CJ Ogbonna is a dual-threat quarterback with deep-ball functionality, however he’s not constant as a passer.
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I don’t belief him to persistently reap the benefits of Japanese Michigan’s 127th-ranked protection unit. The Eagles have a stable run protection, rating top-50 in EPA/rush allowed and PFF’s tackling grades.
You received’t confuse Japanese Michigan’s offense with a record-breaking unit, however Buffalo switch quarterback Cole Snyder has given the passing assault some life.
The Bulls rank simply 99th in EPA/go allowed this season, and I’d search for Oran Singleton to have a powerful sport with three straight 70+ yard outings.
I don’t see a lot worth on the facet or complete on this sport.
This one possible comes down as to whether or not Ogbonna connects on a few deep balls.
Potential climate on this sport would possible profit the Eagles with the superior run protection, so regulate the forecast — we might see heavy wind and rain in Ypsilanti on Wednesday.
Advice: Lean Japanese Michigan -1 (-110, Fanatics).
Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Jacob Wayne handicaps school soccer and the NFL for the New York Submit. He’s up 84.5 items throughout the 2 sports activities with a 6.27% ROI.
