Week 10 provides some thrilling prime-time video games, together with what must be a enjoyable matchup between the Detroit Lions and Texans on “Sunday Night Football.”
I don’t have an awesome stance on the unfold or complete for this sport, however I’ve recognized two participant prop angles I like for this matchup.
Odds can transfer drastically main as much as sport time, so be happy to hit me up on X at @Wayne_Bets to see if the numbers are nonetheless playable.
Jahmyr Gibbs longest rush Over 15.5 yards (-120 Bet365)
Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans has led a formidable defensive season, and Houston ranks second in defensive DVOA.
Nonetheless, if there’s one weak spot, it’s in permitting explosive runs.
In line with Fantasy Factors Knowledge, the Texans have allowed the third-highest fee of explosive runs and a couple of.77 yards after contact per try, probably the most within the NFL.
The Texans additionally rank twenty first in open area yards allowed, which FTN defines as yards that working backs earn greater than 10 yards previous the road of scrimmage.
That’s music to the ears of a home-run-hitting working again like Gibbs, who leads all certified working backs with an absurd 9.7 p.c explosive rush fee.
He additionally ranks fifth in breakaway run fee, in accordance with Professional Soccer Focus.
He’s an elite expertise, and he advantages from working behind the league’s finest offensive line by adjusted line yards.
Gibbs has cleared this quantity in 18 of 26 profession video games (69 p.c) and 6 of eight video games this season (75 p.c).
In the meantime, the Texans have allowed a working again to clear this quantity in six of their previous seven video games.
This can be a good storm for Gibbs to interrupt off an extended rush sooner or later.
C.J. Stroud Over 12.5 speeding yards (-114 FanDuel)
It seems as if Nico Collins is ready to overlook one other sport for the Texans, and with Stefon Diggs out, Stroud’s life is made way more tough.
Final week, Stroud accomplished simply 11 of 30 passes in opposition to the Jets.
It didn’t assist that he was underneath fixed duress — in accordance with PFF, he was pressured on 55.6 p.c of dropbacks.
The Lions’ go rush hasn’t been as potent since Aidan Hutchinson’s season-ending damage, however we all know defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn isn’t afraid to ratchet up the blitz.
Betting on the NFL?
Detroit ranks sixth in blitz fee this 12 months. Stroud has been pressured on the third-highest fee amongst quarterbacks this 12 months.
Stroud isn’t essentially often called a dual-threat quarterback, however he has 17-plus speeding yards in 4 of his previous six video games.
This matchup can be conducive to him working — the Lions lead the league in man protection fee (43.7 p.c), which strongly correlates to quarterback speeding yards.
They’ve allowed 29-plus speeding yards to quarterbacks in 5 of their previous seven video games.
Why Belief New York Put up Betting
Jacob Wayne handicaps school soccer and the NFL for the New York Put up. He’s up 84.5 models throughout the 2 sports activities with a 6.27% ROI.
