If we’ve realized something in regards to the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, it’s that they can’t be trusted as massive favorites.
That’s precisely what they’re after they stroll into Arrowhead Stadium on Black Friday, the place the Chiefs shall be 13-point favorites.
Kansas Metropolis was the final NFL group to be undefeated this season and now have a divisional matchup in primetime.
The Chiefs have been favored by six or extra factors six instances this season and have received all of them, however they’re 0-5-1 in opposition to the unfold in these video games.
Las Vegas is 2-2 in opposition to the unfold of their final 4 in opposition to the Chiefs and received their Christmas Day matchup final season as 11-point underdogs.
May we actually count on extra of that on a vacation primetime affair?
Chiefs vs. Raiders odds
Unfold | Moneyline | Whole | |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | -13.5 (-110) | -800 | Over 42.5 (-110) |
Raiders | +13.5 (-110) | +550 | Beneath 42.5 (-110) |
Chiefs vs. Raiders prediction
Make no mistake: the Raiders are a considerably much less proficient squad than practically each group within the league.
Though a division matchup may make this one fascinating, contemplating the Chiefs sleep-walked their solution to a close to loss to Bryce Younger and the Carolina Panthers.
Nonetheless, the Panthers are rated No. 30 in defense-adjusted worth over common (DVOA), whereas the Raiders are twenty ninth.
Final week, the Chiefs have been 11-point favorites on the street and now host the Raiders at 13-point favorites.
My betting mannequin has the projected rating of this matchup at 16.8 factors for the Raiders and 23.4 factors for the Chiefs.
Even with Isiah Pacheco anticipated to play on Friday, it’s means too many factors for a Chiefs group that doesn’t take many video games significantly that aren’t in January.
Betting on School Soccer?
Wager the Raiders first half in opposition to the unfold (+7), as their common first-half level differential is -4.1, and Las Vegas has seen will increase in first-half factors in current weeks.
They’re averaging 9.7 factors per first half of their final three video games, up from their common complete of 8.1.
PICK: Las Vegas Raiders first half unfold +7 (-120, Fanatics)