The Brooklyn Nets are technically alive within the playoff race, given the play-in match, however the indicators are clear that this franchise is concentrated on the NBA draft lottery.
It is a prime instance of how understanding a selected group can present precious betting alternatives, whereas oddsmakers are stretched skinny maintaining with quite a few sports activities and the increasing menus of prop bets. Information is energy, as Thomas Jefferson as soon as coined.
The lately acquired D’Angelo Russell has entrenched himself into the place to begin guard spot. Nonetheless, head coach Jordi Fernandez has established that Russell’s enjoying time seems as if it’ll keep a cap of 26 minutes.
Moreover, with Cam Thomas nonetheless injured, Russell typically ends the sport with Brooklyn’s most or second most shot makes an attempt. Thus, he’s able to dropping 20 factors on any given night time, however he’s completed across the 10-point mark in some video games. That makes his factors prop of 13.5 powerful to handicap.
Nonetheless, I feel there may be robust worth on his assists prop, and that’s why I’m enjoying Underneath 5.5 with -150 odds. On this sports activities part, I’ve a 26-14 report in opposition to the unfold (ATS).
First off, if Russell is hoisting round 15 shot makes an attempt along with a number of free throws, then he’s not passing a lot. And when he does discover an open teammate, the Nets don’t have many dependable shooters or scorers. That’s why he’s averaging 3.2 assists over his previous six video games, whereas cashing the below in all six.
Standard knowledge suggests he may have the ball extra in his palms with the latest buyout of Ben Simmons, however Russell’s assists numbers didn’t enhance when Simmons missed video games. Russell has the capabilities to be a playmaker however he’s prioritizing pictures and the group is limiting his time on the courtroom.
Betting on the NBA?
PICK: D’Angelo Russell below 5.5 assists (-150, BetMGM)
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Doug Kezirian is a New York Publish contributor who presently serves because the Chief Content material Officer for Solely Gamers, a sports activities betting media firm. Doug has over 20 years of expertise within the betting area, together with spending 11 years at ESPN as a bunch, columnist and betting analyst. He’s additionally the uncommon persona who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill School Soccer Problem ($58K) and in addition grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
