Lamar Jackson has entered the chat.
After the star quarterback delivered one other memorable and eye-opening efficiency on nationwide tv, the NFL MVP race is now thought of to be a lot tighter than beforehand thought — and that gives betting worth in Week 17.
Josh Allen stays the MVP betting favourite however his odds have lowered to -200 at DraftKings. The Payments quarterback was about -900 simply two weeks in the past.
Jackson’s three touchdowns every on Christmas and the earlier week have catapulted him again into critical consideration, reducing his odds to +145. The reigning MVP leads the league in QBR and has 39 landing passes with simply 4 interceptions, together with 852 dashing yards and 4 TD.
Voter fatigue often prevents a back-to-back award winner, but when the season is that unbelievable, then he can overcome that resistance. In any case, Aaron Rodgers simply pulled it off in 2020 and 2021.
That’s the reason I consider Buffalo’s matchup with the Jets gives a positive alternative. Allen has +105 odds to throw not less than two landing passes in opposition to a protection that was not too long ago torched by Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa.
Allen ought to thrive, particularly since he tends to excel in adversarial circumstances. Climate forecasts name for regular rain however pretty heat temperatures.
The MVP storyline is what makes the prop guess a strong play. I consider Allen’s possibilities hinge on this efficiency, particularly as a result of Allen seemingly will skip subsequent week’s common season finale. If he underdelivers in opposition to the Jets, that seemingly sways the award to Jackson.
Betting on the NFL?
I do consider that underlying narrative will affect play-calling within the pink zone, particularly if the Payments have a snug lead. He can at all times run for a rating, and people odds are -115 and separate from the passing touchdowns. Nonetheless, I believe it’s extra seemingly that he’s given the inexperienced gentle to search out the tip zone by way of the air.
The Payments need to win the sport and safe the AFC’s second seed. That’s undeniably the highest precedence. However additionally they need their franchise cornerstone to win the MVP and can make sure selections to perform each. That’s why I view the +105 odds as worth and a much better wager than -200 on an MVP ticket.
