As a lot as Deion Sanders and Co. have impressed this 12 months, I’m nonetheless not bought on the Buffaloes.
My largest concern is that the offensive isn’t good.
Shedeur Sanders is consistently working for his life, and Colorado ranks 104th nationally in sack price allowed (8 %).
Of better significance to this matchup is that the Buffaloes can’t run the ball behind their awful entrance 5 — they rank one hundred and tenth nationally in EPA per Rush and seventh in move play price (60%).
That bodes effectively for Kansas.
The Jayhawks’ undersized entrance seven is susceptible in opposition to the push (one hundred and twenty fifth nationally in EPA per Rush allowed).
However, the protection is OK at defending the move behind the rock-solid cornerback duo of Mello Dotson and Cobee Bryant.
On the opposite facet of the ball, Kansas’ offense has caught hearth now that Jalon Daniels is wholesome.
The Jayhawks had a string of unfortunate losses within the early season, however they’ve received three of their previous 4 video games, dropping over 40 factors on Iowa State and Houston throughout the stretch.
Colorado’s rush protection is merely common (66th nationally in EPA per Rush allowed), and the Jayhawks boast a top-10 speeding offense behind the dual-threat Daniels and star working again Devin Neal.
It is a good matchup for the up-and-coming Jayhawks, and it seems the Buffaloes are overvalued — 4 of their six Large 12 wins have come in opposition to groups with shedding league information.
Choose: Kansas +3.
Northwestern (+10.5) over MICHIGAN
Michigan’s passing assault has appeared barely higher because the Wolverines began taking part in Davis Warren once more.
The senior can full virtually 60% of his passes and tends to maintain the ball out of hurt’s method with a low common depth of goal.
Nonetheless, the Wolverines’ aerial assault is among the many worst in faculty soccer.
They’re nonetheless overly reliant on the speeding assault, rating twenty seventh nationally in rush play price (58%).
That doesn’t bode effectively in opposition to Northwestern, which boasts a horrific secondary however a gifted entrance seven that ranks within the prime 15 nationally in EPA per Rush and Rush Success Price allowed.
Betting on Faculty Soccer?
I don’t know the way Northwestern scores, however the Wildcats protection can hold it aggressive, and catching over 10 factors in a points-at-a-premium, low-scoring, rush-heavy Large 10 battle is nice worth.
For what it’s price, solely one in every of Michigan’s 5 wins has come by greater than 10 factors, and street underdogs in convention play with totals underneath 45 factors have gone 374-294-18 in opposition to the unfold since 2005.
Additionally, might Michigan be waiting for subsequent week’s rivalry sport with Ohio State?
I wouldn’t be shocked to see them look unprepared this Saturday at house in opposition to a historically lame-duck Northwestern program.
Final week: 1-2. Notre Dame (L), Kansas State (L), Kansas (W).
2024 season: 20-14.
Why Belief New York Publish Betting
Tanner McGrath has been an expert sports activities handicapper since 2018. Specializing in faculty sports activities and baseball, he’s a diehard fan of the Vermont Catamounts, the Miami Marlins and any house underdog. He discovered himself on the incorrect facet of the Miami Miracle in 2018, however made up for it 4 years later by hitting a 40/1 lengthy shot on Sandy Alcantara to win the NL Cy Younger.
