Friday’s SEC quarterfinal between Alabama and Kentucky is a basic strength-versus-strength matchup.
Alabama is the nation’s best-scoring offense and is ranked third within the nation by KenPom’s adjusted offensive effectivity metric.
Kentucky ranks third total in factors per sport and is the seventh-most environment friendly unit within the nation, per KenPom.
As you’d think about, bookmakers have hung an astronomical whole for this tilt.
Not solely is the 179.5-point Over/Underneath for Kentucky vs. Alabama the best on Friday’s slate, nevertheless it’s a full 17 factors larger than the following sport (Missouri-Florida).
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Kentucky vs. Alabama odds
| Groups | Unfold | Odds | Complete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | +7.5 (-115) | +240 | o179.5 (-110) |
| Alabama | -7.5 (-105) | -300 | u179.5 (-110) |
Kentucky vs. Alabama betting preview
It’s been fairly the season for the new-look SEC. Presently, 12 groups stand as locks to get into the Large Dance, with Texas sitting on the bubble.
Two of these locks, Alabama and Kentucky, will attempt to add to their resumes Friday evening.
As issues stand now, the Crimson Tide seem to be a protected wager for a No. 2 seed, however a repeat as SEC champions might change issues, particularly if Florida or Houston slips up.
The energy of this Alabama facet is its scoring capability, however the Crimson Tide are additionally probably the greatest groups within the nation at getting video games on their phrases.
Alabama desires to interact with its opposition and switch each sport right into a back-and-forth tilt. The Tide rank No. 1 within the nation in adjusted tempo, per KenPom, and averages 78.7 whole possessions per contest.
Kentucky is greater than snug enjoying at that tempo, however the Wildcats’ greatest path to success is making an attempt to take a number of the tempo out of the sport.
Betting on School Basketball?
Alabama vs. Kentucky Decide
There’s no query that this whole is a little bit inflated. While you get two of the very best offenses within the nation assembly, that’s going to occur.
The difficulty with going the Occam’s Razor route for this one is that the margins for over bettors is razor skinny while you’re coping with a complete this excessive.
One chilly stretch of capturing or an adjustment by both facet that slows issues down might fully throw off the scoring tempo wanted to get to this quantity.
The Decide: Underneath 179.5 (-110, BetMGM)
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Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, however a long-profiting sports activities bettor with 10 years of expertise within the playing trade. He loves utilizing sport principle to assist punters win bracket swimming pools, discover lengthy pictures, and learn to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports activities.
