Vice President Kamala Harris’ first main marketing campaign determination — deciding on Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz over Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as her working mate — backfired big-time with Jewish voters, an exit ballot completely obtained by The Put up reveals.
The Harris-Walz ticket gained Pennsylvania Jewish voters by seven share factors, 48%-41%, over the GOP ticket of Donald Trump and JD Vance, based on the survey performed by the Honan Technique Group for the Educate Coalition, an affiliate of the Jewish Orthodox Union.
Nonetheless, 53% of Jewish voters stated they’d have pulled the lever for the veep if Shapiro was her No. 2, whereas help for Trump-Vance would have dropped to 38%.
The outcomes recommend that Harris could have come nearer and even gained in Pennsylvania — which she misplaced to Trump by 2.1% — or different swing states had she picked the favored Shapiro, who Jewish neighborhood leaders claimed on the time was topic to an “ugly, antisemitic campaign” that led to him being handed over for the VP slot.
Because it was, defeated Democratic Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey ran forward of Harris-Walz amongst Jewish voters, based on the survey, with 50% saying they backed the three-term incumbent and 40% supporting Republican Sen.-elect David McCormick.
Harris additionally failed to interrupt 50% amongst Jewish voters throughout New York’s 1st and 4th Congressional Districts on Lengthy Island, in addition to the seventeenth, 18th, nineteenth and twenty second Districts within the Hudson Valley and upstate — a surprising reversal amongst what was thought of a dependable Democratic constituency.
Throughout the six districts, each Trump and Republican Home candidates obtained 41% of the Jewish vote whereas Harris-Walz obtained 48% — greater than half the hole that confirmed up in a summer time ballot wherein Harris led Trump 56%-37% amongst Jews within the swing districts.
Had Shapiro been on the ticket, nonetheless, Harris would have overwhelmed Trump by 12 — 51%-39% — within the six battlegrounds, the ballot indicated.
“In a post Oct. 7 world, the Jewish community’s vote is up for grabs more than ever before,” stated Maury Litwack, founder and CEO of the Educate Coalition.
“It’s absolutely an erosion of Jewish voters for the Democratic Party,” he added. “What’s driving that is the Jewish neighborhood’s emotions about antisemitism.
“The far-left has made anti-Israel activity a cornerstone. They have sway in the Democratic Party,” defined Litwack. “This is a wake-up call for the Democratic Party in New York.”
The Jewish vote was inconsistently distributed within the Empire State.
Within the decrease Hudson Valley’s seventeenth Congressional District, 55% of Jews stated they voted to re-elect freshman Republican Rep. Mike Lawler, whereas simply 31% went for Democrat Mondaire Jones.
Within the next-door 18th District, nonetheless, 57% of Jewish voters backed Democratic incumbent Rep. Pat Ryan, whereas solely 34% went for Republican challenger Alison Esposito.
About half of New York Jewish voters and 43% of Pennsylvania Jewish voters stated the rise in antisemitism had a “significant impact” on their vote, whereas greater than 80% throughout each states stated it was essential for them to stay politically energetic and engaged in native, municipal and state races over the subsequent two years.
The Honan Group/Educate Coalition survey performed 681 exit ballot interviews on Election Day. The outcomes have a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.75 share factors.
